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The science

The greenhouse effect

A blanket we can’t live without, and what happens when it gets thicker.

Simplified drawing of the greenhouse effect: yellow arrows of sunlight reach the ground, red arrows of infrared heat rise from it, and a layer of greenhouse gases sends some of the heat back down while some escapes to space
Our simplified drawing: sunlight in, infrared heat out, and some of it sent back down by greenhouse gases.Drawing: our own

How it works

Greenhouse gases act like a blanket round the Earth: sunlight passes through, the ground warms and gives off infrared heat, and some of that heat is caught and sent back down. Met Office: What is climate change?

The greenhouse effect itself is vital: without it the Earth would be bitterly cold and people could not survive. Met Office: What is climate change? Without greenhouse gases, Earth would be about 30 degrees colder than it is today. Met Office: Causes of climate change

Britannica puts Earth’s average surface temperature without the greenhouse effect at only about −18 °C. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

The gases

Water vapour is the greenhouse gas with the largest effect. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

Some greenhouse gases occur naturally, like carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide. Others, such as CFCs, are made only by people. Met Office: Causes of climate change

Burning fossil fuels releases greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide. Met Office: What is climate change?

Carbon dioxide alone is responsible for about 80% of the total heating influence of all human-produced greenhouse gases since 1990 (NOAA). NOAA Climate.gov (archived June 2025): Atmospheric carbon dioxide

The enhanced greenhouse effect

Adding extra greenhouse gases makes the blanket thicker. The Met Office calls this the enhanced greenhouse effect, and it is the main cause of climate change. Met Office: Causes of climate change

The Met Office says methane from farm animals is 30 times more powerful than carbon dioxide as a greenhouse gas, and nitrous oxide nearly 300 times. Met Office: Causes of climate change

Not really like a greenhouse

Despite the name, the greenhouse effect works differently from a glass greenhouse, which keeps heat in mainly by trapping warmed air. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

Venus: the extreme case

On Venus, a thick carbon dioxide atmosphere causes an extreme greenhouse effect, with surface temperatures as high as 450 °C. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

Where the idea came from

Joseph Fourier is sometimes credited with the idea, after comparing the atmosphere in 1824 to an insulated glass-lidded “hotbox”, though he never used the term greenhouse effect. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

Svante Arrhenius is credited with the origins of the term, through the climate model he published in 1896. Encyclopaedia Britannica: greenhouse effect

There’s more on the history page.

Next: the causes →